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Dangote Refinery Raises Petrol Price to ₦799 per Litre

Dangote Petroleum Refinery has raised the Dangote petrol price to ₦799 per litre at the ex-depot level, marking a fresh adjustment in Nigeria’s downstream petroleum market amid evolving supply and cost conditions.

Industry sources confirmed the price review on Monday, noting that the adjustment reflects changes in crude oil input costs, foreign exchange dynamics and distribution logistics associated with refining and delivery.

The new rate represents an increase from previous ex-depot prices and is expected to influence pump prices across retail outlets, depending on marketers’ margins, transportation costs and regional supply conditions.

Dangote fuel price stability

Dangote petrol price adjustment tied to market inputs

According to market analysts, the refinery’s pricing decisions are closely linked to international crude prices and exchange rate movements, given the cost structure of crude supply and operational expenses.

Although the Dangote Refinery is positioned to reduce Nigeria’s dependence on imported fuel, analysts note that domestic refining costs remain sensitive to global oil markets and foreign exchange volatility.

The refinery, with a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, began supplying petrol to the Nigerian market as part of efforts to stabilise supply and ease pressure on foreign exchange demand.

Figure1. 1: Map showing the distribution of Depot in Nigeria (source: Pipeline product marketing company of Nigeria) 

Implications for transport and inflation

Energy economists warn that higher ex-depot prices could translate into increased pump prices, potentially raising transport costs and feeding into broader inflationary pressures.

Transport unions and logistics operators typically adjust fares in response to fuel price changes, which can have knock-on effects on food distribution and household expenses.

However, some analysts argue that consistent domestic supply from the refinery could help moderate extreme price volatility over time, even if short-term adjustments remain necessary.

Regulatory and market outlook

The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority has maintained that fuel pricing remains market-driven under the current deregulation framework, with prices determined by supply, demand and cost structures.

Market participants say further price movements will depend on crude prices, exchange rate stability and the efficiency of distribution networks, as the downstream sector continues to adjust to post-subsidy realities.


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