By IDNN Politics Desk
Baba-Ahmed Issues Caution to APC Leadership
Former presidential adviser Hakeem Baba‑Ahmed has cautioned the All Progressives Congress (APC) against assuming that recent defections into the party will automatically secure victory in the 2027 general elections.
Speaking in an interview monitored by IDNN, Baba-Ahmed said Nigeria’s electoral history shows that elite political movements often fail to sway voters if governance outcomes do not improve.
“Defections Don’t Win Elections”
According to him, while defections can boost party morale and media visibility, they rarely compensate for public dissatisfaction with economic conditions, security challenges, and perceived leadership gaps.
He warned that relying heavily on political arithmetic without addressing citizens’ daily realities risks creating a false sense of electoral security within the ruling party.
Voters Driven by Performance, Not Party Numbers
Baba-Ahmed argued that Nigerian voters have become more discerning, increasingly separating party branding from governance delivery.
He pointed to past elections where dominant parties lost despite attracting influential politicians, noting that public trust and credibility often outweigh numerical strength during polls.
Implications for 2027 Strategy
The comments come amid intensified political manoeuvring ahead of 2027, with parties positioning for alliances, defections, and regional calculations.
Analysts say Baba-Ahmed’s warning highlights a broader lesson for all political actors: electoral success depends not only on coalition building but also on visible improvements in governance, security, and economic wellbeing.
A Signal Beyond APC
Although directed at the APC, the caution also resonates across opposition parties preparing for 2027. Observers note that voters are likely to scrutinise track records more closely, making performance-based campaigns increasingly critical.
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As Nigeria approaches another electoral cycle, Baba-Ahmed’s remarks serve as a reminder that political momentum must be matched by public confidence to deliver results at the ballot box.
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